Investing Adventures - Latest Comments in Alert: Fed Cuts Discount Rate from 3.5% to 3.25%

Re: Alert: Fed Cuts Discount Rate from 3.5% to 3.25%

Jorge — Mon, 17 Mar 2008 12:22:48 -0000

Jim,

I've given up trying to figure the markets out. I'm actually thinking of sitting the week out but some items (DBA for example) look ripe for some nibbling. Sigh.

Re: Alert: Fed Cuts Discount Rate from 3.5% to 3.25%

Jim — Mon, 17 Mar 2008 10:29:07 -0000

I'm sitting here right now looking at positive territory in the Dow trading action off of starting nearly 200 points negative. Definitely a good sign here. I don't know if it was the Fed cuts that made this possible, but definitely they helped ease things a bit ;)

Re: Alert: Fed Cuts Discount Rate from 3.5% to 3.25%

Jorge — Sun, 16 Mar 2008 20:36:39 -0000

Oh it is a panic. Dollar v. Yen is down to near 96.70, lowest levels in 12+ years. This is what everyone's been waiting for. We'll see capitulation tomorrow. The XLF is going to be crushed I bet. I'd love to see the VIX near 40 tomorrow but that's hoping hah!

Re: Alert: Fed Cuts Discount Rate from 3.5% to 3.25%

Options Strategery — Sun, 16 Mar 2008 20:30:42 -0000

Rate cut two days before meeting, how can I interpret that as anything but PANIC?

Re: Alert: Fed Cuts Discount Rate from 3.5% to 3.25%

Jorge — Sun, 16 Mar 2008 20:12:21 -0000

Ahh. I recall you using TradeStation. Guess you're forced to pay for everything with them. thinkorswim has up to date futures right now and it's not pretty. Dollar against the Yen is free falling too. It's hell out there right now. We may be witnessing history in the making to be honest. Would be interesting to be a part of a stock market crash if it comes to that.

Re: Alert: Fed Cuts Discount Rate from 3.5% to 3.25%

Bubs — Sun, 16 Mar 2008 19:59:42 -0000

My futures are acting all crazy plus my data is delayed. I think its best to wait till tomorrow morning to see what happens

Re: Alert: Fed Cuts Discount Rate from 3.5% to 3.25%

Jorge — Sun, 16 Mar 2008 19:57:58 -0000

Bubs, I wish I knew what futures numbers you were looking at. Folks could only hope they're around flat. I have the ES down 34, the YMs down 76 and the NQ down about 50. The YMs were up about 150 when the BSC news came out. I knew that was somewhat fishy though but I'm past that now hah!

Re: Alert: Fed Cuts Discount Rate from 3.5% to 3.25%

Bubs — Sun, 16 Mar 2008 19:52:11 -0000

Right now the ES is trading around flat but world markets are hurting. Can't wait till tomorrow morning

Re: Alert: Fed Cuts Discount Rate from 3.5% to 3.25%

Jorge — Sun, 16 Mar 2008 19:41:41 -0000

What I find odd is right after the JPM/BSC deal, the Fed cuts the rate on the discount window. They had to have known what was going on. I'm just surprised they didn't come to the rescue sooner.

My prediction for tomorrow is that we'll open down about 200 points. I don't know why, but I really think this throws even more uncertainty in the markets right now. I'm so glad I liquidate my portfolio around FOMC / expiry week!

Re: Alert: Fed Cuts Discount Rate from 3.5% to 3.25%

thewild1 — Sun, 16 Mar 2008 19:36:22 -0000

it certainly is one of the most active (in terms of drastic news) Sundays I can remember